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International stock markets and stock market trends

Major Stock Market Value Update December 2005

By Gary Scott
International stock markets and stock market trends

Spotting Trends expert Michael Keppler continually researches every major global stock market and compares their values based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return. Here is his most recent review:

Recent Developments & Outlook

In December global equities recovered strongly after their short correction to finish at new annual highs. The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Total Return Index (with net dividends reinvested, December 1984=100) advanced 4.2 % in local currencies, 3.3% in US dollars and 5 % in euros.


Learn more about the Tokyo Stock Exchange
http://www.tse.or.jp/english/index.shtml

All eighteen markets that Keppler reviews achieved positive returns in November. Japan (+7.2 %), the Netherlands (+6.8 %) and Switzerland (+5.4 %) were the strongest markets in their home currency, while Spain (+1 %), Hong Kong (+2.8 %) and the UK (+2.8 %) turned in the lowest – but nevertheless positive – performance. Year to date, Austria (+38.5 %), as well as Denmark and Japan (both up 35 %), performed best (in local currencies). Since all major markets advanced during the first eleven months 2005, even the worst performing markets had positive returns.

The United States market had the lowest return at (+5.1 %), Hong Kong (+7.1 %) and Italy (+12.3 %).

There is no change in Keppler’s performance ratings this month.

Keppler's Top Value Model Portfolio contains only markets rated "Buy", in terms of good value. 

These markets currently include Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands at equal weights.

The Top Value Model Portfolio based on investing only in buy rated markets fell -3.5 % in US dollars and -2.9 % in euro.

Year-to-date, the Top Value Model Portfolio has gained 6.5 % in US dollars and 20.9 % in euros.

Keppler’s current ratings suggest that these markets offer the highest expectation of risk-adjusted performance.

Keppler's worst value markets (sell rating) remain the same with Austria, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, Switzerland and the US.

Neutrally rated markets include Australia, Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden and the UK.

You can get ideas on shares in these top value major global stock markets from Thomas Fischer at FISCHER@jyskebank.dk. For more details on Keppler's analysis, contact Michael Keppler at 1-212-245-4304.

Until next message, good global investing!

Gary

International stock markets and stock market trends
November 21, 2005
International stock markets and stock market trends

 

 

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