SPOTTING TRENDS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT, CURRENCIES AND REAL ESTATE

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International stock markets and stock market trends

International Investments Major Market Value Update April 2006

By Gary Scott

International stock markets and stock market trends

Front doors, these portals to our daily world…are perhaps more? Openings for our souls and the fresh excitement of a new hour? Or an entrance to dreariness and dread? Beginnings or ends? We turn the handle! They only open to our demandings, our places of exit, our regressions and our way back in.

Yet, with the relentless erosion of routine, our doorways can be ignored.

This is the view of Mt. Cotacachi, our front door at El Meson. What a view but...so easily missed in the daily rush to have more…of what?

Stop and ask that question, today, at your front door. Then for just a minute why not look in a fresh way. Imagine the awe and wonder that can await you from your personal portal into your world.

We have now installed a Hometel Program at El Meson. You can live here, make the view below yours for an entire month (including a great and healthy breakfast served in the sunny courtyard by our smiling staff) for just $870.

This is an incredible value and good value is one reason we love Ecuador.

Good value is also the way we spot international investment trends. See more below.

Our friend, statistical expert, Michael Keppler continually researches all major stock markets and compares their value based on current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price, average dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return. He compares each major stock market’s history and from this develops his good value emerging stock markets strategy.

Here is a condensation of his April 2006 review of major market developments & outlook.

Keppler mentioned a strong performance at the beginning of the year followed by a mild pull back, before global equities again resumed their previous uptrend. Last month, the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Total Return Index advanced 2.2 % in US dollars and 0.7 % in euros.

During the first quarter, the MSCI World Total Return Index gained 6.6 % in US dollars and 3.9 % in euros. Over the last fifteen months the index gained 16.7 % in US dollars and 31.1% in euros.

In local currencies, all markets covered rose last month, in the first quarter 2006 and in the last fifteen months.

The best performing markets last month were Norway (+7.9 %), Sweden (+6.9 %) and Denmark (+4.9 %).

Belgium (+0.4 %), Spain (+0.5 %) and Italy (+0.9 %) came in last.

Since the beginning of 2006, the top performing markets were Norway (+19.6 %), Sweden (+11.9 %) and Germany (+10.9 %).

The lowest performing markets were the US (+4 %), Italy (+6 %) and Switzerland (+6.2 %).

Over the last fifteen months, Norway led the winners with a 66.2 % gain, followed by Austria (+58.8 %) and Japan (+54.3 %).

Over the last fifteen months, the United States (+9.4 %) was the only market with a single digit gain. The other laggards were Hong Kong (+15.9 %) and Italy (+24.4 %).

There is one change in our performance ratings this month: Hong Kong is upgraded to “Buy” from “Neutral”. The Top Value Model Portfolio now contains the following seven "Buy"-rated countries at equal weights: Belgium, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, the Netherlands and Singapore.

Keppler’s current ratings suggest that these markets offer the highest expectation of risk adjusted returns.

You can get ideas on shares in these top value major global stock markets from Thomas Fischer at Fischer@jyskebank.dk

For more details on Keppler's analysis, contact Roderick Cameron at 1-212-245-4304 or at roderick.cameron@kamny.com

Until next message, good global investing!

Gary

P.S. Join Merri, Thomas Fischer of Jyske Bank and me at our next International Business and Investing Made EZ course in North Carolina. Review where to invest and do business now and learn which markets and currencies may be strong in the year ahead. Do not delay we have only five spaces left! SIGN UP TO COME

P.P.S. Double your profit potential with the MultiCurrency Sandwich. Leverage investments in top value markets. DETAILS

Today’s Health Tip: Consider having dental and elective medical procedures in Ecuador. See why

International stock markets and stock market trends
April, 2006
International stock markets and stock market trends

 

 

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All contact copyright Gary A. Scott (1968-2006) unless noted otherwise